Episode 5: AI and Geoeconomics: Understanding Europe’s Security Landscape

In this episode of StrategicALLY, hosts Belén Padrón Salinas and Zsigmond Tar sit down with Heiko Borchert, owner and manager of Borchert Consulting & Research AG, a strategic affairs consulting company that focuses a broad range of security issues. We will discuss the dynamics of geoeconomics and artificial intelligence for the defence industries in Europe, touching aspects such as the security of supply chains, interoperability and the modernisation of European militaries. Mr Borchert shares his expertise on the application of artificial intelligence and the geoeconomic aspects for armed forces and defence industries in Europe. As co-author of the book ‘The Very Long Game’ where 25 different countries are analysed as case studies for implementing AI in the militaries, Mr Borchert provides us valuable information on the modernisation of militaries across Europe. The podcast recording and sounds have been edited by Irina Antonescu.

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Assessing Reprisals as an Alternative to Judicial Proceedings for Enforcing Compliance with International Humanitarian Law

Countermeasures are an established mechanism in International Law that allows a State to respond to the unlawful actions of another. This tool enables the injured State to act in a way that would otherwise be illegal, with the objective of compelling the breaching State to cease its violations. Similarly, the concept of belligerent reprisals refers to a similar mechanism in International Humanitarian Law (IHL), which allows a State to violate IHL rules in response to the previous violations of another State in order to enforce compliance. It has been a part of armed conflicts throughout history, and its codification can be traced back to the earliest iterations of IHL. Over time, the scope and permissibility of reprisals have become significantly more constrained. Today, their regulation is primarily governed by customary International Humanitarian Law (CIHL), which draws upon the International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) Customary Rules and established case law. This article will examine the exact legal boundaries of belligerent reprisals and evaluate the practice.

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European Troops for Ukraine? Evolving Perspectives and Strategic Debates on the Deployment of European Ground Troops to Ukraine

In February 2024, French President Emmanuel Macron sparked an intense debate by suggesting the deployment of European ground troops to Ukraine. However, other NATO and EU leaders quickly dismissed such an idea. French authorities rushed to frame it as part of a strategic ambiguity policy, emphasising non-combat roles to avoid a public outburst. Although the idea faded, reports in December 2024 revealed renewed Franco-British discussions on deploying Western troops to prevent another Russian aggression in the context of a potential US shift in European priorities under the new Trump administration and announced peace talks. Analysing European leaders’ reactions and future scenarios for possible deployment, this article finds that the suggestion mainly served to signal to other actors that European states are preparing to assume responsibility for guaranteeing Ukraine’s security when a peace agreement is reached. Although such a project is likely to remain in the discussion stage, the existence of the debate itself may help shape European geopolitical actorness at a time of increasing instability throughout the continent.

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The Interconnectedness of AI Systems – The Future of Contemporary Warfare

The incorporation of AI in military applications has transformed contemporary warfare, providing unparalleled efficiency, accuracy, and independence abilities. Yet, with the progress of AI systems, the possibility of autonomous weapons collaborating and communicating with each other brings up substantial strategic, ethical, and security issues. This paper seeks to investigate the technological groundwork that allows for AI communication, analysing the latest progress in machine learning and autonomous systems. It will examine how the connectedness could impact battlefield dynamics, decision-making processes, and the potential for emergent behaviours that can improve operational effectiveness or result in unintended consequences.

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Towards Super Soldiers? The Implications of Tech-Infusion of Soldiers and the Concept of Connected Soldiers on the Military Landscape

This Info Flash discusses the implications of Tech-Infusion of Soldiers on the Military Landscape and inferentially on the political world. In doing so, the IF first covers how tech-infusion has taken hold of the soldier and what the developments have specifically entailed before applying these findings in a wider, political scope in the second section. It finds that a lot of the developments in the area of tech-infusion are based on surpassing the boundaries of the human body and, therefore, attempting to make reality easier, and even rearrange the boundaries of reality itself. Yet one must conclude that the growing investment into tech-infusion must equally be understood in the context of the changing military and political landscape of increasing uncertainty and conflict.

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